The OPEC
chief has said today that a drop in oil investments could hurt oil production
and this has caused oil to rally and breakout of the recent consolidation that
it had as we can see on the daily chart of light crude oil. The price has
finally broken above the 55 day exponential moving average and above the upper
trendline that was forming the apparent descending triangle. The bullish
momentum accelerates and the price reaches the 49.00 zone. It is possible for
oil to continue going higher, but the 50.00 level could act as a temporary resistance
on crude.
Tuesday, October 6, 2015
Monday, October 5, 2015
Consolidation continues on Light Crude Oil
Light crude
oil or WTI continues in a tight consolidation with the 44.00 level acting as a
very good support. To the upside, the 55 day exponential moving average (purple
line) has acted as a good resistance, not allowing the price to break above
that zone. The highs of the daily candles appear to be lower than the previous
ones, forming what it appears to be a descending triangle. During a descending
triangle formation the energy accumulates at the lower support line, making it
more probable to break to the downside. If the price breaks below the 44.00
level, then the bearish momentum may take it to the 40.00 level. To the upside,
the 50.00 level could act as a resistance.
Friday, October 2, 2015
Bullish flag on the AUD/USD
A bullish
flag is a continuation chart formation where the price after having a bullish
trend comes into an area of consolidation and forms a channel with a small
inclination to the downside. It is called a bullish flag, because the price
tends to continue going higher after it breaks out of the consolidation.
On the
AUD/USD 4 hour chart we can see that the price has formed a bullish flag just
below its 200 period exponential moving average (blue line). From this point
on, if the price continues going higher it may find some resistance around that
200 period exponential moving average. But the price may also break to the
downside and if it does so, the area of the 0.6936 level could act as support.
The stochastics are pointing down due to the small inclination to the downside
that the channel forming the flag has, but it could also change to the upside.
Thursday, October 1, 2015
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Wednesday, September 30, 2015
Bearish channel on the FTSE100
The FTSE100
index of the United Kingdom has retraced to the upside today, but we can see
that it is actually inside a bearish channel. From the current level the index
may try to go back down and visit the lower trendline of the channel as we can
see on the daily chart. To the downside there are two levels that could act as
support, the first one is the 5846 and the second one is the 5760. However, if
the index breaks to the upside, then it could try to go and visit the high at
the 6267 level where we can also see the 55 day exponential moving average
(purple line), which could act as resistance.
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
The GBP/USD continues much undecided
The Pound
versus the Dollar stays in a range between the 1.5127 as support and the 1.5241
as resistance. The current consolidation seems to be a resting zone for the
pair to continue going lower, but for the pair to continue with its bearish
trend, this week’s fundamentals out of the US should come out better than
expected and the Dollar should strengthen. Actually, there is no clear trend
until the pair breaks above the 1.5300 level, which could mean a possible
bullish retracement or below the 1.5100 level, which could confirm a
continuation of its bearish trend.
Monday, September 28, 2015
Bearish continuation on coffee
Coffee has
stayed in a bearish trend with a recent low around the 114.55 level as we can
see on the daily chart. Even though the price tried to break above the
Parabolic SAR points, it actually came back down and it could try to visit the
114.55. To the upside, the commodity seems to have found a good resistance
around the 125.70 level and a breakout above that zone could take the price all
the way to its most recent high around the 140.87 level in the medium term.
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