A few days
ago we identified a Rising Wedge formation on the daily chart of corn and we
said that it would probably take it a few more days before breaking to the
downside. However, today we see that the price has broken below the lower
trendline of the rising wedge and the bearish momentum may accelerate from this
point on. The target of the rising wedge is the lowest level of the formation,
meaning the low at the 345.54 level. Even though the price may do some
retracements along the way, it is possible for the price to reach that level.
If the price goes back inside the formation, then the pattern will be
invalidated and the 399.50 level could act as resistance.
Thursday, October 15, 2015
Wednesday, October 14, 2015
Possible Pennant on the EUR/JPY
On the
daily chart of the EUR/JPY we can see that the last few candles have had small
real bodies with short shadows in both directions. This has created what it
appears to be a Pennant formation. Usually, a Pennant formation acts as a
continuation pattern, where the price continues in the direction where it was
coming from. Therefore, there is a good chance that the price may try to
continue going higher after the current consolidation, but a bullish breakout
will not be confirmed until the price breaks above the 137.00 level. Since the
price may also break to the downside, a bearish breakout will not be confirmed
until the price breaks below the 136.00 level.
Tuesday, October 13, 2015
Rising wedge on Corn
On the
daily chart of corn we can see that the price has been oscillating, but it has
a small inclination to the upside where the highs have been higher than the
previous ones and the lows have also been higher than the previous ones. This
has formed what it appears to be a “Rising Wedge” formation. The rising wedge
formation usually acts as a bearish reversal pattern, where there are more
probabilities of seeing a breakout below the lower trendline. However, we must
keep in mind that this is a daily chart and the price may try to go higher for the
next few days before attempting a bearish breakout. If the price breaks to the
downside, then it could target the 345.54 level. On the other hand, to confirm
a breakout to the upside, the price would have to break above the resistance
zone between the 399.50 and the 404.69.
Monday, October 12, 2015
Double bottom on the USD/CAD?
The
US Dollar versus the Canadian Dollar reached a low on Friday on the 1.2900
level. During today´s session the price reached again that 1.2900 level to
bounce to the upside to the 1.3000 level. It is possible for the 1.3000 level
to act as a resistance, but it could also be the confirmation line of a double
bottom formation. Since the price has been falling for the past few weeks, as
we can see on the daily chart, if the price breaks above the 1.3000 level, it
could signal a possible change in direction or a correction. Above the 1.3000
level its next resistance could be the 1.3200. Below the 1.2900 level, its next
support could be the 1.2800 level.
Friday, October 9, 2015
Moving average confluence on the Nasdaq
The Nasdaq
has closed the week to the upside and is keeping a very good rally from almost
two weeks ago. However, the 55 day and the 200 day exponential moving averages
have been practically on the same level since the beginning of the week, around
the 4327 area, which is an indication that the index may try to go into a
consolidation. But if the index continues going higher, then its latest high
around the 4442 could act as resistance. To the downside, there are no
important support levels on the daily chart for the Nasdaq until the low at the
4041 level.
Thursday, October 8, 2015
The EUR/NZD keeps its bearish correction
The Euro
versus the New Zealand Dollar has been retracing to the downside after a big
rally. The pair breaks below the 55 day exponential moving average (purple
line), around the 1.7294 level, but it has found some support around the 1.6866
level. From this current zone, the pair may try to retrace to the 55 EMA, which
in such case would be completing a breakout and retracement pattern, giving us
a possible short entry. If the pair continues dropping, then the 200 day
exponential moving average (blue line), around the 1.6422 level could act as
support.
Wednesday, October 7, 2015
Bullish trend on sugar
The sugar
contract for March of next year has kept a very good bullish trend as we can
see on the daily chart. After it made a low at the 10.11 level, sugar rallied
to the 11.00 zone to consolidate around that area for a few weeks. But the
bullish momentum comes in again and the price breaks above the 12.00 level to
go and visit the 200 day exponential moving average, around the 12.67 level
where it tried to stall due to the fact that the zone had acted as a good
resistance in the past. However, the price then breaks above that EMA and it
rallies to the 14.00 level. The stochastics are around the 100% level, due to
the strong rally that the price has made, but it is clearly over-bought and a
bearish correction may come in from the current levels. None the less, if the
price breaks above the 14.00 level, then its next resistance could be the 15.00
level.
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