Silver
falls to the 55 day exponential moving average, around the 16.35 during a
bearish pullback. It is possible for that moving average to act as support and
if it bounces to the upside from there, then the price may visit the 17.00
level; however, above the 17.00 level, the 18.00 level could act as a better
resistance for silver. Below the 55 day EMA, its next support could be the
16.00 level. The 200 day exponential moving average may also act as a support
and much lower, the 15.00 level has been acting as a congestion zone.
Thursday, May 19, 2016
Wednesday, May 18, 2016
The EUR/USD nears the 1.1200 level
The FED
minutes for today have supported the Dollar and right now the probabilities of
seeing a rate hike in June have risen to 39% after being at 15% this last
Tuesday. The Dollar rallies versus its main counterparts, especially versus the
Euro and the Yen. That is why the EUR/USD drops from the 1.1300 zone to the
1.1200 zone. If the price touches the 1.1200 level, that level may act as
support. To the upside, the 1.1300 level may act as resistance. The 21 day EMA,
yellow line, has been holding the price down and breaks below the 200 day EMA,
blue line. The 55 day EMA, purple line, has not been able to break below the
200 day EMA, but if it does, that could be an indication that the pair may
continue lower.
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Symmetrical triangle on the USD/CAD
The USD/CAD
continues oscillating around the 1.2900 level without taking a clear direction
and it has formed what it appears to be a symmetrical triangle. The current
formation may act as a resting point for the price to continue going higher,
but first it would have to break above the 55 day EMA and above the 1.3000
level. If such a breakout happens, then the price may try to reach the 200 day
EMA, around the 1.3200 level. To the downside, the pair would have to break
below the 1.2800 level to consider a bearish breakdown. Below the 1.2800 level,
any of the round number levels to the 1.2500 level may act as support.
Monday, May 16, 2016
WTI Oil nears the 50.00 level
WTI oil has
been rallying lately after the comments from Goldman Sachs about a disruption in
oil supply. Those comments have had a positive impact on the price of oil and
the commodity breaks above the 46.00 level to continue higher. If the rally
continues, oil may reach the 50.00 level, which could act as resistance and
maybe bounce to the downside from there. A bearish pullback may take the price
back down to the 46.00 level. Below the 46.00 level, the 200 day EMA may also
act as support. If the 55 day EMA, purple line, crosses above the 200 day EMA,
blue line, then that may be an indication that the bullish trend could continue
in the middle term.
Friday, May 13, 2016
The USD/CAD in consolidation mode
The USD/CAD
gets tangled between the 21 day EMA and the 55 day EMA, also between the 1.2800
and the 1.3000. From this point the pair may go in any direction. The CAD may
need another push from oil in order to continue its rally. For now the US
Dollar is gaining ground versus the Canadian Dollar, hence the pullback that we
are seeing on the daily chart to the upside. A breakout above the 1.3000 level
may take the price to the 200 day EMA, blue line, around the 1.3200 level,
which could act as resistance. To the downside, a breakdown below the 1.2800
level may indicate a possible return of the bearish trend, but the pair would
have to make a lower low below the 1.2500 level in order for the trend to keep
going.
Thursday, May 12, 2016
ActivTrades’ Webinars continue to impress
Every week,
ActivTrades has been providing excellent training and education on the
financial markets through its team of professional traders and mentors like,
Malte Kaub and Paul Wallace, among others. This week, Mr. Kaub continues with
his series of Trading and Day Job. The events have been of great help for all
those wanting to expand their knowledge of the markets and analysis. Next week
we also have a great event by Paul Wallace on the use of the stop loss and take
profit orders. Don’t miss out on the great opportunities that ActivTrades has
been providing to its clients and anyone who is willing to register for the
events. To register, please follow the following link:
Wednesday, May 11, 2016
Possible bullish flag on the EUR/JPY
The flag
patterns along with the triangles and pennants, appear on areas of
consolidation and most of these patterns act as continuation patterns, meaning
that the price continues in the direction where it was coming from, but there
are some that act as reversal patterns. On the 4 hour chart of the EUR/JPY we
can see that the price bounced from the 122.00 zone to the upside and broke
above the 55 period exponential moving average. The pair continues going higher
to the 200 period EMA, blue line, around the 124.07 level. Around the 200 EMA,
the price forms what it appears to be a bullish flag. Since the price coming
into the formation has a bullish trend, then there are more probabilities of
seeing a bullish breakout and maybe a visit to the 125.00 level. But if the
price breaks to the downside, then the 55 period EMA, purple line, may act as
its first support. Below the 55 EMA, the 122.00 zone may also act as support.
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