The USD/JPY
continues its rally and reaches the 107.00 level where it is trying to stall at
the moment. Usually, those round number levels tend to act as support or
resistance zones, but the bullish momentum on the pair is such that it may
break it to the upside and continue towards the 109.00 level. The better than
expected earnings reports out of the US is making the Dollar rally. With a rise
in risk appetite, the Yen suffers and falls, hence the bullishness on the
USD/JPY. In case of a bearish pullback, the pair may retrace to the 55 day
exponential moving average, purple line, around the 105.41 level. If such
scenario develops, then the pair may form a breakout-pullback pattern around
the 55 day EMA.
Wednesday, July 20, 2016
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
Follow up on the Dollar index
Possible
bullish breakout of the ascending triangle or flag that we identified on the
daily chart of the USD/JPY. The pair breaks above the 96.84 level and if it
continues rallying it may get to the 98.59 level. The golden cross of the 55
day exponential moving average above the 200 day exponential moving average is
almost complete. Such cross has bullish implications. If the pair goes back
below the 96.84 level, it could leave behind a false breakout and it would go
back to the congestion zone. Inside the consolidation there are no clear
entries, but we could get a breakout and pullback pattern, which could give us
a long entry. We will stay attentive.
Monday, July 18, 2016
Flag on the Dollar index
We can see on
the daily chart of the Dollar index that it has been consolidating above the
200 day exponential moving average, around the 95.71 level, forming what it
appears to be a bullish flag or an ascending triangle. The resistance of the
formation is at the 96.84 level, where the pressure is rising to the upside. A
break out of that level to the upside may cause the index to rally towards the
high at the 98.59 level. The support of the formation is at the 95.34 level and
a breakdown of that level could take the index to the low at the 93.00 level.
Lastly, a bullish cross of the 55 day exponential moving average, purple line,
of the 200 day exponential moving average may confirm a continuation of the
bullish trend.
Friday, July 15, 2016
The USD/JPY is still consolidated
The USD/JPY
is still oscillating around the 55 day exponential moving average, purple line,
around the 105.41 level. From this level the pair may head in any direction,
but the consolidation may act as a continuation pattern or a resting point to
continue going higher. The next resistance on the daily chart may be the 107.00
level or the 109.00 level, but a much important resistance level is the 111.00
zone along with the 200 day EMA, blue line. To the downside we have a support
zone between the 103.00 and the 104.00 level. The 100.00 level continues being
its most important support.
Thursday, July 14, 2016
The USD/JPY stalls its rally
The USD/JPY
has been rallying lately as the risk appetite keeps growing in the markets and
it is making the Yen less attractive as a safe haven currency. On the daily
chart we can see how the price rallies to the 55 day exponential moving
average, purple line, around the 105.41 level and stalls there. The price may
try to bounce to the downside from here and if it does so, it may try to go and
visit the 104.00 level or the 103.00 level. Below the 103.00 level, the next
support could be the 100.00 level. To the upside, the next resistance above the
55 day EMA could be the 107.00 level or the 109.00 level.
Wednesday, July 13, 2016
Good pullback on the EUR/JPY
The EUR/JPY
retraces to the 55 day exponential moving average, which is currently at the
118.00 zone. On the daily chart we can see that the 55 day EMA has acted as a
good resistance in the past; therefore, it is possible to see a bearish bounce
from this level. If the prices continues falling, then the first support could
be the 114.82 level, followed by the 111.00 level and much lower the 109.37
level. To the upside, above the 55 day EMA, the first resistance could be the
122.00, followed by the 200 day EMA, blue line, around the 123.96 level.
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
The GBP/JPY reaches the expected resistance
The GBP/JPY
has been rallying since yesterday as shown on the daily chart and today it
reaches the 139.00 round number level. From this point the pair may give us an
opportunity to enter either to the upside or to the downside. If the price
breaks to the upside, it may try to go and reach the 146.00 level, but to open
a buy position we must be patient and wait first for confirmation of the
breakout in the form of two or three bullish candles above the 139.00 level and
then wait for the pullback to the same 139.00 level for a buy entry. If the
price bounces to the downside from the 139.00 level, then it may fall to the
low at the 128.67 level, which could act as support.
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