The GBP/JPY
has fallen rapidly during Friday’s session after the Bank of Japan disappointed
the markets by implementing a lower than expected stimulus package, which made
the Yen rally versus its major peers. The pair has reached the 135.00 level
where it stalls, but the bearish momentum may stay in place and it is possible
to see a breakdown of that level for the next couple of trading sessions. If
the pair does break below the 135.00 level, then it may reach the 132.00 or the
low at the 128.67 level. If the pair bounces to the upside, then the first
resistance could be the 139.00 level or the 55 day exponential moving average,
purple line.
Friday, July 29, 2016
Thursday, July 28, 2016
Range is getting tighter on the GBP/USD
The GBP/USD
on the daily chart has been consolidating around the 1.3200 level and the range
has been getting tighter forming what it appears to be a symmetrical triangle.
From this point on, the pair may break out in any direction, but usually these formations
act as continuation patterns. If the breakout is to the upside, then the pair
may find resistance around the 1.3532 level or the 55 day exponential moving
average. If the breakout is to the downside, which in such case it would be
called a breakdown, then the first support could be at the 1.3000 level, but a
much better support could be the low at the 1.2800 level.
Wednesday, July 27, 2016
EUR/GBP: Consolidation continues
The EUR/GBP
has been consolidating as shown on the daily chart and the range has been
getting tighter forming what it appears to be a symmetrical triangle. From this
point the price may break out in any direction. But there could be a slight probability
of it breaking to the upside, due to the fact that the pair had been trending
upwards and the current consolidation may just be a pullback to continue
higher. If the price breaks to the upside, then the high at the 0.8629 could
act as a resistance. To the downside, the 0.8200 or the 55 day EMA may act as
support. Below those levels, we can see some important support levels at the
0.8000 and at the 200 day exponential moving average, around the 0.7856 level.
Tuesday, July 26, 2016
The EUR/JPY breaks the 116.00 level
The EUR/JPY
has found a good resistance zone around the 118.00 level as shown on the daily
chart. Very close to the 118.00 level we can also see the 55 day exponential
moving average, which has also contributed in making that zona a good
resistance. The price bounces to the downside and today it breaks below the
116.00 level after the Yen strengthen amid expectations of the decision by the
Bank of Japan for this Friday. The pair may continue lower and if it does then
it may reach the 111.00 level.
Monday, July 25, 2016
Breakdown confirmation on Oil
WTI oil has
been dropping steadily for the past few trading days and today it breaks below
the 200 day exponential moving average and the 44.00 level. The bearish trend
may continue and right now the road is clear all the way to the 40.00 level. However,
we must be attentive to a pullback to the 200 day EMA, where the price may
bounce back down and complete a breakout-pullback pattern. Above the 200 day
EMA, its next resistance may be the 46.00 level along with the 55 day EMA,
purple line. As long as the price of WTI oil stays inside the bearish channel
shown on the daily chart, it may continue lower.
Friday, July 22, 2016
Breakdown attempt on WTI oil
WTI oil has
been in a well-defined bearish channel with a good support at the 200 day
exponential moving average. To the upside the 46.00 level has been acting as a
good resistance and it may continue to do so. Today the price of WTI oil breaks
below its 200 day EMA and below the 44.00 level, but the breakdown was
short-lived due to the fact that the price went back up above the 44.00 level.
If during next week oil continues going down, it may try to go and visit the
40.00 level, with the road practically clear until that level. The bearish
momentum may accelerate, but also a bullish bounce is possible.
Thursday, July 21, 2016
Webinars: Adapt to the new normal: One month after the UK Referendum
The recent
market reaction after the Brexit event deserves a sound and professional
analysis in order to find the right opportunities in trading. Malte Kaub will
be conducting a special Webinar on where we stand after one month of the UK
referendum. Don’t miss this opportunity this July 21st. Also, on
July 28th we have Paul Wallance on how to use the Smartlines and
Smartorder tools for MetaTrader, provided by ActivTrades. To register for these
events, please follow the following link:
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