The
Dollar versus the Yen has been rising steadily, but once it got to the 114.87
zone, it lost its bullish momentum. The pair has already visited the 114.87
level twice, as shown on the daily chart. If the prices bounces from the
current levels to the downside, then a double top pattern may develop. The
double top pattern is a bearish reversal pattern; therefore, the USD/JPY may
change direction to the downside. The MACD indicator is also showing us a
possible trend reversal, but it is too early, though to call a trend change. To
the downside, the 111.28 level may act as a support along with the 200 day EMA,
which is much lower around the 107.00 zone.
Monday, December 5, 2016
Friday, December 2, 2016
EUR/JPY: Bullish trend is still in place
The Euro
versus the Yen has had a very good rally as shown on the daily chart. Once it
got to the 122.00 zone, it retraces to the downside. The 119.00 zone has been a
very good support, where the pair has already bounced to the upside a couple of
times. A breakout above the 120.00 level could take the pair to the highs
around the 122.00 level. At the 118.00 level we can see the 200 day EMA, blue
line, which could contribute to making that zone a good support area. The
117.00 level could also act as a support.
Thursday, December 1, 2016
Oil: Possible pullback
On the
daily chart of WTI oil we can see that the black gold is stalling its rally
momentarily around the 51.60 level. The bullish trend is still in place and oil
may try to continue going higher, but since it is over-extended to the upside,
the commodity may be due for a retracement or pullback to the downside. The
50.00 level may act as a support, but below that level, the 48.00 and the 46.00
may also act as support. Around the 46.00 level we can see the 200 day EMA,
which could contribute to making that level a good support. To the upside, if
the rally continues and oil breaks above the 51.60 level, then its next
resistance could be the 53.50 level.
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Corn stays consolidated
The March
contract of corn has been consolidating between the 334.74 level and the 361.38
level. The 200 day exponential moving average has been acting as a resistance,
even though in one occasion the price of corn broke above that level. There
could be trading opportunities inside the range, but it is risky due to the
fact that the price may break in any direction. The stochastics are coming
close to the over-sold zone; therefore, the price may try to go and visit the
334.74. To the downside, the 320.00 level may act as its next support. To the
upside, the 361.38 level may act as its next resistance if the price visits that
level again.
Tuesday, November 29, 2016
GBP/JPY: Breaks 200 day EMA
The
Pound versus the Yen has kept a very good bullish trend during the last few
weeks as shown on the daily chart and breaks above the 200 day exponential
moving average or 200 day EMA, which is currently around the 141.23 level.
After breaking above the 200 day EMA, the pair makes a high around the 145.22
level where it stalls and tries to pull back. In case of a pullback, the pair
may touch the 200 day EMA again and complete a breakout and pullback pattern.
But if it breaks below the 200 day EMA, then the 137.00 level could act as
support. Below the 137.00 level, its next support could be the 131.00 level.
The stochastics are consolidating at the over-bought zone, because while the
price may continue rallying, the indicator is not able to break above the 100%
level, therefore it just goes sideways.
Monday, November 28, 2016
Death cross on gold
A
few days ago we identified on the daily chart of gold that there could be a death
cross in the coming days. A death cross is when the 55 day exponential moving
average crosses below the 200 day exponential moving average with bearish
implications in the longer term. Today we can see that the death cross has been
confirmed, even though the price of gold has retraced to the upside. From the
1200.00 level, gold may bounce back down and continue with its bearish trend.
If gold breaks below the 1170.90 level, then it may try to go and visit the
1100.00 level. On the other hand, gold may try to pull back a little bit higher
and it if does, then it may try to visit the 1241.45 zone, which could act as
resistance.
Friday, November 25, 2016
Good pullback on oil
WTI oil has
made a good pullback to the 46.00 level as shown on the daily chart. Just below
the 46.00 level we can see the 200 day exponential moving average, blue line,
which may contribute along with the 46.00 level to prevent the price of oil to
drop below it. Therefore, we could see a bounce to the upside. If the price
bounces to the upside, then it may find resistance again at the 48.00 zone as
it did recently. If the price continues rallying above the 48.00 level, then
its next resistances could be the 50.00 level or the high at the 51.60. On the
other hand, the price may also break below the 46.00 level and maybe try to
visit the 44.00 or the 42.00 levels.
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