Gold has
been falling in an orderly fashion and reaches the 1200.00 zone, round number
level which could act as a support, but the MACD indicator on the daily chart
is showing us that the trend reversal has been confirmed to the downside. The
MACD line (green line) has crossed below its signal line (red line), indicating
that the trend has changed to the downside. The histogram’s bars are getting
bigger and that is an indication that the trend is gaining strength to the
downside. Apparently gold has lost its shine as a safe haven asset and if the
FED raises its interest rates then it is possible for the precious metal to
continue falling. However, in order for the downtrend to continue in the
midterm, it is necessary for the price of gold to break below the 1200.00
level. In the short-term we could see a bullish pullback, which could be
healthy for the bearish trend to continue, but the 200 day EMA (blue line) at
the 1232.38 level could act as resistance.
Thursday, March 9, 2017
Wednesday, March 8, 2017
Bearish breakdown on silver
Silver has
broken below its 200 day exponential moving average, blue line, which is around
the 17.40 level as shown on the daily chart. Silver had a good bullish trend,
but once it got to the high around the 18.40 level it started pulling back
rapidly, something that is really amazing. From the current level, the price of
silver may continue lower, since it seems like that bearish momentum is
accelerating. If it continues dropping, silver may try to reach the low at the
16.60 level, which could act as support. But a more important support level
could be located at the low of the 15.61 zone. Regardless of the huge drop that
silver is showing, it may try to make some bullish retracements. In case the
price retraces to the upside, the 18.00 level may act as resistance. Will the
price of silver continue dropping towards the 16.60 level?
Tuesday, March 7, 2017
Possible trend reversal on gold
Gold has
fallen 0.60% so far during today’s session and it is continuing with the
bearish correction that started on January 27th. Gold and the US
Dollar usually have a negative correlation, which means that when the Dollar
rises, gold falls. Lately, the Dollar has been in an uptrend and that has put
some pressure on gold prices. If the FED stays in course to rising interest rates
that could give the Dollar a push and gold could continue falling. On the daily
chart of gold we can see that the commodity is accelerating its drop below the
200 day EMA, around the 1232 level and according to the MACD indicator, it is
possible that the trend has reversed to the downside. If the bars of the
histogram on the MACD continue getting bigger and the price of gold breaks
below the 1200 level, then we could say that the precious metal has changed its
trend to the downside. On the other hand, it is possible for the 1200 level to
act as a support in case the price falls to that zone.
Monday, March 6, 2017
The NZD/USD loses ground again
During
Friday’s session, the NZD/USD dropped really fast towards the 0.7000 level, but
at the same time it bounced right back up to close the daily candle as a “hammer”
formation on the daily chart. The “hammer” pattern is a reversal bullish
formation, which is confirmed when the following candles are bullish or to the
upside. In this case, there was no confirmation of the “hammer” pattern,
because today the price of the NZD/USD drops again and visits the 0.7000 zone. It
is possible for the pair to continue dropping and it could go and visit the
0.6900 level. The 0.6900 level has acted as a support in the past and another
visit to that area could stall the pair there and it may even cause a bounce to
the upside. In case the pair bounces from the 0.7000 level, its next relevant
support is at the 0.7100 level where we can also see the 200 day EMA. Above the
200 day EMA there is a congestion area with a resistance at the 0.7246 level.
Friday, March 3, 2017
The Mexican Peso rallies again
The USD/MXN
breaks again below the 200 day moving average, around the 19.82, but this time
it does it with a lot of strength. The drop in the pairs is due to support given
to the Mexican Peso by US officials, which are considering that the rally on
the US Dollar versus the Mexican currency is not convenient for either country.
Therefore, it is possible to see some sort of intervention in the near future
on the USD/MXN. Technically, we can see that the drop accelerates from the 200
day EMA due to the consolidation that was created on top of that moving
average, indicating that the sell orders were accumulating there. That is why once
the price breaks the 200 day EMA, the drop accelerates rapidly. If the pair
continues falling, then the 19.00 level may act as support. To the upside, in
case the pair goes back above the 200 day EMA, then the 55 day EMA on the 20.41
level may act as resistance followed by the 21.00 level.
Thursday, March 2, 2017
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Wednesday, March 1, 2017
GBP/USD: Bearish breakdown
The
GBP/USD has been in a consolidation, oscillating in both directions around the
55 day exponential moving average, purple line, as we can see on the daily
chart. Actually, the pair has formed what it appears to be a symmetrical
triangle. During the last two sessions, the Pound has started to lose some
ground versus the Dollar and it has broken below the lower trendline of the
triangle, reaching the 1.2300 level where it has stalled at the moment. From
this point the pair may continue lower and if it does, then the 1.2200 level
may act as support, followed by the 1.2100 and finally the 1.2000 level. In
case the pair goes back up, it will be entering the congestion area around the
55 day EMA and it would have to break above the upper trendline of the triangle
in order for it to change its trend to the upside.
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