The GBP/USD
has a very good rally from the 55 day EMA zone (purple line) where it
consolidated for a few days before breaking above the 1.2400 level and coming
very close to the 1.2500 zone. The bullish momentum accelerates above the
1.2400 level, but it is possible for the 1.2500 to act as a resistance.
However, a breakout of the 1.2500 level could clear the way for the pair to
reach the 200 day EMA (blue line), which just above the high that it made at
the 1.2709 level. In case of a bearish pullback, the first area of support
could be the 1.2400 level or the same 55 day EMA. But any of the round number
levels like the 1.2300, the 1.2200, or the 1.2100 levels could also act as
support.
Monday, March 20, 2017
Friday, March 17, 2017
Head and shoulders pattern on the AUD/USD
On
the 4 hour chart of the AUD/USD we can see that the price has formed an
inverted head and shoulders pattern, which up to now it has been working
nicely. The price of the AUD/USD was consolidating during the second part of February,
but once it broke below the 0.7662 zone, it drops to a low at the 0.7490 zone.
From the 0.7490 zone the price bounces to the upside, forming the left shoulder
of the pattern and then breaking above its neckline (red line) to continue all
the way up to the 0.7700 zone. From the 0.7700 zone, the pair retraces back to
the 0.7662 level and goes back up to the 0.7700 zone to form a possible double
top pattern. If the AUD/USD breaks below the 0.7662 level, then it may change
direction to the downside. Above the 0.7700 level, its next resistance could be
the 0.7740 level. Another possible scenario is that the pair may stay
consolidated at the current levels like it did in the past without a clear
direction.
Thursday, March 16, 2017
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broker is always looking for ways to help its clients in becoming better
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the upcoming events for the second quarter of the year and the political risk
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better trader.
Wednesday, March 15, 2017
Silver stalls its pullback at the 200 day EMA
Silver has
been falling rapidly since it changed its trend to the downside and breaks
below the 200 day EMA (blue line), which currently around the 17.40 level to
reach a low around the 16.80 level. At the 16.80 level, silver makes a double
bottom formation and bounces to the upside to reach the 200 day EMA level
again, which coincides with the 55 day EMA at which point the bullish momentum
dries up and comes back down. The previous candle has the shape of a doji with
a long upper shadow, indicating that the sellers have come in and have taken
control of the market. The price of silver gets below the 200 day EMA and if
the next candle is bearish, then silver could go back to its downtrend and it
could visit again the 16.80 level or the 16.60 level.
Tuesday, March 14, 2017
The EUR/JPY retraces to the 122.00 level
The EUR/JPY
has been having a good bullish trend as shown on the daily chart, which has
been supported by the pullbacks that the price has made on its way up. The
small pullbacks are important for a trend to be kept, due to the fact that
these pullbacks give the opportunity for new investors or traders to come into
the market and keep the trend going. The EUR/JPY made a high very close to the
123.00 level from where it retraces to the 122.00 level and stops there. From
that round number level the pair may try to bounce back up and continue with
its bullish trend, but the 123.00 level may act as resistance. Below the 122.00
level, the next support could be the 55 day EMA (purple line), which is
currently around the 120.85 level.
Monday, March 13, 2017
Gold: Stuck around the 1200.00 level
Gold had a
very good fall o bearish pullback, which in reality has become in a trend
reversal in the short term. However, once it got to the 1200.00 level, gold stops
its falls on that level, something that we had already anticipated due to the
fact that the zone is a round number level and a very important psychological area.
For now the price of gold in consolidating just above the 1200.00 level, possibly
waiting for new information to come into the markets to take a clear direction,
either to the upside or to the downside. If the price bounces to the upside
from the 1200.00 level, then the 55 day and 200 day exponential moving averages
may act as resistances. In case the price breaks below the 1200.00 level, then
its next support could be in the 1180.11 zone.
Friday, March 10, 2017
WTI oil finds resistance at the 50.00 level
WTI oil was
in a well-defined consolidation since the beginning of December up to recently,
between the 52.00 level and the 54.00 level. On Wednesday the price of WTI oil
breaks below the 52.00 level after the US oil inventories came out well above
the expected reading and causes the price of crude to drop. The fall takes the
price of WTI oil to the 50.00 level, which initially acts as support, but
yesterday the drop continues and oil reaches a low around the 48.54 level,
breaking below its 200 day EMA, blue line, around the 49.38 level. Today oil
tried to claim back some of the ground that it lost during the last couple of
days, but once it got to the 50.00 level, that level changed from support to
resistance and the price drops again from that level. If the price of WTI oil
drops below the 48.54 level, then the bearish momentum may accelerate even more
and it could have the road clear all the way to the low at the 44.50 zone. To
the upside, above the 50.00 level, the next important resistance is at the
52.00 level, which could change its role as a support to a resistance.
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WTI oil at the 200 day EMA
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