Support and
resistance levels are basic in technical analysis, but it is something that we
have to work with for the rest of our trading careers. We can determine support
and resistance levels by picking the highs and lows or peaks and valleys, but
there is an excellent tool called Pivot Points, which were originally created
for pit traders to determine possible reversal levels. Now ActivTrades is offering
the Pivot Point Indicator to its clients and anyone who would like to try it on
a Demo account. Pivot Points help us pick support and resistance levels and
usually helps us determine the daily trend for the instrument. Don’t miss out
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Thursday, March 1, 2018
Wednesday, February 28, 2018
Interesting pullback on the EUR/JPY
On the
weekly chart of the EUR/JPY we can see that the pair has been in a well-defined
bullish trend since it took off from the 112.00 zone, with some pullbacks along
the way. On March of last year, the pair made a bearish retracement that took
the price to the 115.00 level from where it bounces to the upside. This pair
respects very well the technical levels and we can see how once it got to the
200 week EMA (blue line), it finds some temporary resistance there. However, the
pair breaks above the 200 week EMA and accelerates its bullish momentum. After
that we have two consolidation zones and the pair reaches the 137.51 level from
where it retraces again. The current pullback has taken the EUR/JPY to the 55 week
EMA (purple line) at the 129.92 level. Due to the fact that the EUR/JPY
respects the technical levels, we could see a bounce to the upside from the
129.92 level, but if the pair continues falling, then the 200 week EMA at the
127.57 level could also act as support.
Tuesday, February 27, 2018
The Dollar rallies on the back of the FED
Today’s
comments by the new FED chairman, Jerome Powell, has caused the Dollar to rally
amid the possibility of higher interest rates. On the daily chart of the Dollar
index we can see that the instrument has rallied really fast, but at the
moment, the 90.46 level is acting as resistance as it did at the beginning of
February. The 55 day EMA (purple line) may also contribute for that zona to
become a resistance. Above the 55 day EMA, the 91, 92, or 93 levels may act as
resistance to the 200 day EMA (blue line). To the downside, the 89.53 level may
act as support, because the 200 month EMA is right at that level. The lows at the
88.14 level may also act as support.
Monday, February 26, 2018
Oil loses its bullish momentum
WTI
oil has tried to back to its bullish trend since it bounced to the upside from
the 58.00 level where we can also find the 200 week EMA. On the 58.00 level,
the price of oil made a double bottom formation, which is a bullish reversal
pattern. The price of WTI oil completed the double bottom formation and headed
to the 55 day EMA (purple line), where a breakout and pullback pattern was
formed. The commodity has also completed and confirmed the breakout and
pullback pattern and that is why it has headed higher. However, once the price
reached the 64.00 level, the bullish momentum died out. From the current level,
WTI oil may try to pull back to the 61.00 level where we can find the 55 day
EMA. To the upside, the 65.00 level may act as resistance, followed by the high
at the 66.59 level.
Friday, February 23, 2018
Triangle formation on silver
On
the daily chart of silver we can see that the commodity has been consolidating
just below the 17.00 level and below its 200 day EMA (blue line). On the
consolidation we can see that the price of silver has formed what it appears to
be a symmetrical triangle or a bullish triangle, either way we must wait first for
a breakout and a confirmation, because the price may break out in any
direction. On the other hand, these triangle formations usually act as
continuation patterns, therefore if the trend coming into the formation is
bearish, then the price has a higher probability of breaking to the downside. The
16.00 level could act as its next support followed by the low at the 15.59
level. Above the 17.00 level, its next resistance could be the high at the
17.67 level.
Thursday, February 22, 2018
WTI oil to the upside
Crude
oil inventories out of the US have come out lower than expected causing the
price of WTI oil to rally from the 61.00 level where we can find the 55 day
EMA. On the daily chart we can see that the price has formed a
breakout-pullback pattern precisely on the 61.00 level. In order for the
breakout-pullback pattern to be confirmed, the next candle must also be
bullish. The next resistance could be the 65.00 level, but for now the
stochastics indicator has enough space before entering the overbought zone,
therefore the price could continue rising. In order for WTI oil to go back to
its bullish trend, the price must break above the 66.59 high. In case of a
bearish breakdown below the 61.00 level, its next support could be the 58.00
level where we can find the 200 week EMA, followed by the 56.00 level where the
200 day EMA is right below it.
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
The Dollar stays bullish
The
Dollar index has formed what it appears to be a double bottom formation as shown
on the daily chart. The double bottom formation is a bullish reversal trend,
therefore the Dollar index may try to change its direction to the upside. The
two bottoms that made up the pattern are on the 88.14 level, from that zone the
index has formed its neckline or confirmation line around the 90.46 level. In
case the index keeps rising, if it breaks above the 90.46 level and above the
55 day EMA (purple line), then the double bottom formation will be confirmed. A
little bit higher we can see the 200 day EMA (blue line) around the 93.00
level, which could also act as resistance. To the downside, the 88.14 zone
could act as support, but below that level, the 87.00 could also act as
support.
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