Risk
appetite has come back into the markets causing the price of gold to retrace to
the downside, due to its status as a safe haven asset. Gold has a very good
bullish momentum since the fears of a trade war between the United States and
China hit the markets. Now that certain US officials are meeting with their
counterparts in Beijing, the markets are back in risk appetite mode. The main
stock indexes around the world are rallying, but gold is pulling back. The
rally on gold took the price of the precious metal above the 1350 level, but
today the price comes back down to the 1345 level. In case gold continues
falling, its next support level could be the 55 day EMA around the 1323 level.
To the upside, its most relevant resistance is at the peak reached at the 1366
level.
Tuesday, March 27, 2018
Monday, March 26, 2018
Copper price action very technical
On the
daily chart of copper we can see very interesting technical levels that have
served as good resistances or supports. First of all, the price of copper has
been in a downtrend during the past few months and today it has reached a low
around the 294.25 level. The current daily candle has the shape of a doji,
which is an indecision Japanese candlestick pattern. The price of copper did
not stalled its drop at the 294.25 level by chance, exactly at that level we
can find the 55 week EMA. Below the 55 week EMA at the 294.25 level, we can
find the 200 week EMA at the 279.77 level. Any of those weekly moving averages may
act as an important support for copper. To the upside, the 200 day EMA (blue
line) at the 302.47 level may act as resistance. That same level of the 302.47
already acted as support in the past and it may change its function to
resistance. Above the 200 day EMA, its next resistance level could be the 55
day EMA (purple line) at the 313.01 level.
Friday, March 23, 2018
Trend reversal on the USD/CAD?
The
USD/CAD has broken below the bullish trendline that we can see on the daily
chart and it could be signaling a trend reversal. However, the pair may find a
good support zone around the 1.2793 level and the 1.2730 level. First of all,
the 55 week EMA is crossing around the 1.2793 level, below that area we have
the 55 day EMA and the 200 day EMA at the 1.2730 level. We can see now all the
factors than coincide around the same zone and that could act as a good support
level. The stochastics indicator has space to continue falling, therefore the
price of the USD/CAD could also drop some more. On the other hand, if the pair
breaks below the 1.2730 level it would have the road clear to drop to the low
at the 1.2244 level. In case of a bullish bounce from the current zone, the
most relevant resistance level is the peak at the 1.3121 level.
Thursday, March 22, 2018
The Pound loses its bullish momentum
Apparently,
the GBP/USD has lost its bullish momentum once it broke above the 1.4200 level
as shown on the daily chart. However, if the pair continues rising, then the
1.4300 level could act as resistance, due to the fact that the pair has already
peaked at that zone. Today’s daily candle has closed like a shooting star and
that is a bearish reversal pattern. Therefore, the GBP/USD may try to pull back
to the downside and probably reach the 1.4000 level. Below the 1.4000 level,
its next support zone could be the 1.3900 area along with the 55 day EMA. Much
lower, at the 1.3700 level we can also find a very good support zone, followed
by the 1.3600 level, which has acted as resistance in the past and could change
its function to support.
Wednesday, March 21, 2018
Amazing rally on oil
WTI oil
rallied during today’s session, supported by the drop on the US Dollar and the
lower than expected US oil inventories. The political tensions in the Middle
East have also caused the price of oil to rally. On the daily chart of WTI oil
we can see that the price was in a consolidation or symmetrical triangle before
taking off and breaking above the 64.00 level. The price has also broken above
the 65.00 level to reach a high around the 65.50 level. If WTI oil keeps
rallying, then the high at the 66.59 level may act as resistance. On the other
hand, in case of a bearish pullback, the 64.00 level may act as support, level
that was acting as resistance in the past. Below the 64.00 level, its next
support could be the 61.00 area where we can also find the 55 day EMA (purple
line).
Tuesday, March 20, 2018
Important support on copper
The
price of copper has been very volatile lately and disorderly as shown on the
daily chart of the commodity. Even though there is no clear trend on copper in
the midterm, we can see that the price has fallen back to the 302.58 level
where we can find the 200 day EMA (blue line). The 302.58 level has already acted
as a support in the past and it is possible to see another bullish bounce from
that zone. To the upside, the 55 day EMA (purple line) at the 314.90 level could
act as resistance, but above that level the next resistances could be the
325.00 level followed by the high at the 330.66 where we can find the 200 month
EMA. On the other hand, the highs of the daily candles are being lower than the
previous ones, indicating that the bearish pressure is accumulating at the
302.58 level, therefore we could see a breakdown of that level and the price of
copper could fall to the low at the 294.25 level.
Monday, March 19, 2018
Strong rally on the Pound
The
possibility of the Bank of England modifying its monetary policy has boosted
the Pound to the upside, along with the Brexit negotiation advances. On the
daily chart of the GBP/USD we can see that the pair has broken above the 1.4000
level and came very close to the 1.4100 level to pull back a little bit to the
1.4041 level where we can find its 200 week EMA. The GBP/USD had a sustainable
bearish trend or correction, but at the beginning of March the pair started to
rally again and it is possible that it has come back to its bullish trend.
However, in order for the bullish trend to be sustainable, the price must break
above the 1.4300 level where we can find the 55 month EMA. On the other hand,
we must keep in mind that the round number levels at 1.4100 or 1.4200 could act
as resistances. Below the 1.3900 level, the price of the GBP/USD would be
breaking the current bullish trendline and it is possible to see a breakdown of
the 55 day EMA to go back to its bearish trend. The 1.3700 level would be its
most relevant support in the mid-term.
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