The
Pound continues losing ground versus its main counterparts, especially versus
the Yen while the risk aversion rises, due to the trade conflicts between the
United States and China. On the daily chart of the GBP/JPY we can see that the
pair has been falling from the 154.00 zone with some pullbacks on the way down.
Once it got to the 143.00 zone, the GBP/JPY started retracing to the upside and
visits the 148.00 level where we can also find the 55 day EMA and where it
forms a double top pattern. During today’s candle, the double top pattern is
confirmed and the price of the GBP/JPY breaks below the 145.00 level. If the
pair continues falling, then the 143.00 level may act as support. To the
upside, the 148.00 level is still its most important resistance. For now the
bearish trend is still in place, confirmed by the death cross of the 55 and 200
day EMAs and by the angle of inclination of the 55 day EMA.
Tuesday, June 19, 2018
Monday, June 18, 2018
Dead cat bounce on Bitcoin
Since the
beginning of April, the price of Bitcoin rallied very close to the 10000 Dollar
zone, but it couldn’t reach exactly that level to start retracing to the downside.
The price breaks below the 9000 level and below the 200 day EMA (blue line) to
bounce to the upside from the 8000 level. The price of Bitcoin tried to bounce
back up, but the 200 day EMA acted as a resistance and the cryptocurrency drops
again below the 8000 level. The bearish momentum accelerates below the 8000
level and reaches the 7000 level from where it bounces to the upside. After the
bounce, Bitcoin drops rapidly and makes a gap to break below the 7000 level,
forming what it is to known as a dead cat bounce. Bitcoin drops very close to
the 5977 level and then consolidates around the 6495 level from where it
started rising in April and forms a triangle or pennant. From the current
consolidation the price may head in any direction. Above the 7000 level, the
8000 zone may act as resistance. To the downside, the 5977 may act again as
support.
Friday, June 15, 2018
Double bottom on the Pound?
On
the daily chart of the GBP/USD we can see that the pair has fallen again to the
1.3200 level and it may formed a double bottom pattern, which is a bullish
reversal formation. The neckline or confirmation line of the double bottom
pattern is just below the 1.3500 level, therefore the price must break above
the 1.3500 level to continue rallying. None the less, the 1.3600 level along
with the 200 day EMA may act as resistance, followed by the 1.3700 level. On
the other hand, the death cross is still in place, which is when the 55 day EMA
crossed below the 200 day EMA and that is an indication that the bearish trend
is still in place. The pair may continue with its bearish trend and if it
breaks below the 1.3200 level, then its next support level may be the 1.3100
level or the 1.3060.
Thursday, June 14, 2018
The Euro plummets
Today’s
comments by the European Central Bank has caused the Euro to plummet due to the
fact that the central bank kept its interest rates unchanged. We must keep in
mind that interest rates is what primarily moves a currency. Therefore, if the
ECB does not hike, the Euro has no reason to rally. On the daily chart of the
EUR/USD we can see that the pair drops more than 200 pips from the 1.1833 level
to below the 1.1600 level. In case of continuing falling, the 1.1500 level may
act as support, but a breakdown of that level could accelerate its bearish
momentum. On the other hand, due to the fast drop, we could see a profit taking
pullback to the 1.1700 level or the 1.1833 level. For now, the angle of
inclination and the separation of the 55 day EMA with the 200 day EMA is
indicating a bearish trend.
Wednesday, June 13, 2018
Death cross continues on the GBP/USD
The
Pound versus the Dollar had a good bearish trend that may continue further
according to the death cross pattern on the daily chart. The death cross is
formed when the 55 day EMA crosses below the 200 day EMA and it has bearish
implications in the mid-term. What it means is that in the short term the price
may pull back to the upside, but in the longer term the price may continue
lower with its bearish trend. When the moving averages cross, this is not taken
as an entry signal, due to the fact that the price has been falling from
further up and it may be ready for a correction. That is what happened on the
GBP/USD daily chart. The price of the pair drops to the 1.3200 level from where
it bounces to the upside, when the death cross is formed, the price tries to go
back down, but the 1.3300 level is acting as a support at the moment. Below the
1.3300 level, the 1.3200 may also act as support. To the upside, the 1.3500
zone or the 1.3600 could act as resistance.
Tuesday, June 12, 2018
The NZD/USD continues consolidated
The Kiwi or
NZD/USD has been pulling back to the upside as shown on the daily chart and
reaches its 55 day EMA around the 0.7041 level, which is acting as resistance.
From the 55 day EMA the price of the NZD/USD bounce to the downside to the
0.7000 level and is currently boxed between those two levels. From the current
consolidation, the NZD/USD may head in any direction, but if it breaks to the
upside, the 200 day EMA at the 0.7125 level may act as resistance. Above the
200 day EMA, its next resistance is at the 0.7300 level. To the downside, below
the 0.7000 level, its next support zone is between the 0.6900 level and the
0.6850 level. Another possible scenario is that the pair may continue
consolidating in the current range.
Monday, June 11, 2018
Will copper continue rallying?
On the
daily chart of copper we can see that the commodity had a very good rally last
week and the price came to visit the 200 month EMA at the 329.46 level once
more. The 200 month EMA has been acting as a good support for copper and that
is why there is no surprise in the current pullback. However, the price of
copper has found a good support around the 325.00 level. In case of another
visit to the 200 month EMA, copper may break above that level and continue
rallying. On the other hand, if the price breaks below the 321.74 level, then
it would have the road clear to fall to the 314.00 level. Below the 314.00
level, the 55 day EMA may act as support, but the most important support zone
is at the 304.00 level and the 301.00 level.
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