Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Gold tries to break an important support


On the weekly chart of gold we can see that the commodity has falling from the double top pattern at the 1365 level and tries to break below the 200 week EMA, blue line, at the 1273 level. In case of continuing dropping, the price of gold may reach the low at the 1236 level, which could act as support. Below the 1236 level, its next support level could be the 1200 zone. The red bullish trendline has acted as a good support, therefore the price of gold may pull back to the upside. In case of a bullish pullback, the 55 week EMA, just below the 1300 level could act as resistance. Above the 1300 level, the next resistance levels could be the 1326 level, but the double top at the 1365 level could act as a better resistance.



Tuesday, June 19, 2018

The bearish momentum accelerates on the GBP/JPY

The Pound continues losing ground versus its main counterparts, especially versus the Yen while the risk aversion rises, due to the trade conflicts between the United States and China. On the daily chart of the GBP/JPY we can see that the pair has been falling from the 154.00 zone with some pullbacks on the way down. Once it got to the 143.00 zone, the GBP/JPY started retracing to the upside and visits the 148.00 level where we can also find the 55 day EMA and where it forms a double top pattern. During today’s candle, the double top pattern is confirmed and the price of the GBP/JPY breaks below the 145.00 level. If the pair continues falling, then the 143.00 level may act as support. To the upside, the 148.00 level is still its most important resistance. For now the bearish trend is still in place, confirmed by the death cross of the 55 and 200 day EMAs and by the angle of inclination of the 55 day EMA.


Monday, June 18, 2018

Dead cat bounce on Bitcoin


Since the beginning of April, the price of Bitcoin rallied very close to the 10000 Dollar zone, but it couldn’t reach exactly that level to start retracing to the downside. The price breaks below the 9000 level and below the 200 day EMA (blue line) to bounce to the upside from the 8000 level. The price of Bitcoin tried to bounce back up, but the 200 day EMA acted as a resistance and the cryptocurrency drops again below the 8000 level. The bearish momentum accelerates below the 8000 level and reaches the 7000 level from where it bounces to the upside. After the bounce, Bitcoin drops rapidly and makes a gap to break below the 7000 level, forming what it is to known as a dead cat bounce. Bitcoin drops very close to the 5977 level and then consolidates around the 6495 level from where it started rising in April and forms a triangle or pennant. From the current consolidation the price may head in any direction. Above the 7000 level, the 8000 zone may act as resistance. To the downside, the 5977 may act again as support.



Friday, June 15, 2018

Double bottom on the Pound?

On the daily chart of the GBP/USD we can see that the pair has fallen again to the 1.3200 level and it may formed a double bottom pattern, which is a bullish reversal formation. The neckline or confirmation line of the double bottom pattern is just below the 1.3500 level, therefore the price must break above the 1.3500 level to continue rallying. None the less, the 1.3600 level along with the 200 day EMA may act as resistance, followed by the 1.3700 level. On the other hand, the death cross is still in place, which is when the 55 day EMA crossed below the 200 day EMA and that is an indication that the bearish trend is still in place. The pair may continue with its bearish trend and if it breaks below the 1.3200 level, then its next support level may be the 1.3100 level or the 1.3060.


Thursday, June 14, 2018

The Euro plummets


Today’s comments by the European Central Bank has caused the Euro to plummet due to the fact that the central bank kept its interest rates unchanged. We must keep in mind that interest rates is what primarily moves a currency. Therefore, if the ECB does not hike, the Euro has no reason to rally. On the daily chart of the EUR/USD we can see that the pair drops more than 200 pips from the 1.1833 level to below the 1.1600 level. In case of continuing falling, the 1.1500 level may act as support, but a breakdown of that level could accelerate its bearish momentum. On the other hand, due to the fast drop, we could see a profit taking pullback to the 1.1700 level or the 1.1833 level. For now, the angle of inclination and the separation of the 55 day EMA with the 200 day EMA is indicating a bearish trend.



Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Death cross continues on the GBP/USD

The Pound versus the Dollar had a good bearish trend that may continue further according to the death cross pattern on the daily chart. The death cross is formed when the 55 day EMA crosses below the 200 day EMA and it has bearish implications in the mid-term. What it means is that in the short term the price may pull back to the upside, but in the longer term the price may continue lower with its bearish trend. When the moving averages cross, this is not taken as an entry signal, due to the fact that the price has been falling from further up and it may be ready for a correction. That is what happened on the GBP/USD daily chart. The price of the pair drops to the 1.3200 level from where it bounces to the upside, when the death cross is formed, the price tries to go back down, but the 1.3300 level is acting as a support at the moment. Below the 1.3300 level, the 1.3200 may also act as support. To the upside, the 1.3500 zone or the 1.3600 could act as resistance.


Tuesday, June 12, 2018

The NZD/USD continues consolidated


The Kiwi or NZD/USD has been pulling back to the upside as shown on the daily chart and reaches its 55 day EMA around the 0.7041 level, which is acting as resistance. From the 55 day EMA the price of the NZD/USD bounce to the downside to the 0.7000 level and is currently boxed between those two levels. From the current consolidation, the NZD/USD may head in any direction, but if it breaks to the upside, the 200 day EMA at the 0.7125 level may act as resistance. Above the 200 day EMA, its next resistance is at the 0.7300 level. To the downside, below the 0.7000 level, its next support zone is between the 0.6900 level and the 0.6850 level. Another possible scenario is that the pair may continue consolidating in the current range.



WTI oil at the 200 day EMA

WTI oil breaks below the 66.27 support zone and accelerates its bearish momentum towards the 200 day EMA around the 64.30 level. We have b...