The Pound
versus the Yen has been retracing for today to the 185.00 level where it has
found a good resistance area and has formed what it appears to be a double top
formation on the 30 minute chart. The double top formation is a bearish
reversal pattern, which is confirmed once the price has broken below its
neckline or confirmation line. The neckline on the current pattern is situated
at the 184.68 level and we can see that the price is trying to break it to the
downside. If a downward breakout is confirmed, then the price may try to go
visit the 184.00 level where it has consolidated in the past.
Friday, February 27, 2015
Thursday, February 26, 2015
Descending triangle on the USD/CAD?
The current
chart formation that the USD/CAD has created on the daily chart looks like a
descending triangle, except that the trend coming into the formation is bullish
and normally these triangles tend to behave as continuation patterns. However,
we can see how the price has tested many time the 1.2400 level, but it has made
a higher high yet. Therefore, it is possible to see a breakout to the downside.
In case we see a downward breakout, then we could wait for the pullback to the
same 1.2400 level for a possible short entry.
Wednesday, February 25, 2015
Risk free buy entry on the GBP/USD
After the
Pound versus the Dollar broke yesterday’s high to the upside, we decided to
take a long or buy entry around that zone, anticipating a bullish continuation,
especially if the price broke above the 1.5500 level. Price eventually broke
above the 1.5500 level, but it is currently pulling back to the same level. At
the moment, the 1.5500 level could act as a support, but the price may continue
lower and go back below the 1.5500. That is why we decided to place out stop
loss just above our entry point in case the price comes back down. To the
upside, our take profit or target has been placed 20 pips below the next round
number level of 1.5600.
Tuesday, February 24, 2015
EUR/JPY 15M – Possible pullback to the 135.00
The Euro
versus the Yen has been quite volatile during today’s session. At the beginning
of the day the Yen weakened due to a rise in the Nikkei, which has a negative
correlation with the Yen. That is why we saw that the EUR/JPY broke above the
135.00 level and came very close to touching yesterday’s high around the 135.61
level. From that point, the pair started to drop after the testimony by Janet
Yellen and came back to the 135.00 to break below it. But the price is trying
to make a correction and if it visits the 135.00 level one more time, the zone
could become a good resistance. A bounce to the downside from that level is
possible, so let’s be attentive.
Monday, February 23, 2015
Possible bullish breakout on the GBP/JPY
The Pound
versus the Yen has found a good resistance on the 184.00 level. This level has
held the price back so far every time it reaches that zone, but let us keep in
mind as the price keeps visiting the same resistance or support level, the
chances of getting a breakout are higher. In case a breakout occurs, we could
wait for the pullback for a possible long entry, but if the bullish momentum
rises after the breakout, then the pullback may not have a chance to develop.
Friday, February 20, 2015
The GBP/JPY rallies back to the 183.00 level
The volatility
on the GBP/JPY has risen today due to all the recent headlines crossing the
newswires regarding the negotiations between Greece and the European Union. At
the beginning of the session, the Pound weakened due to the disappointing
retail sales report out of the UK, but just a few moments ago the GBP/JPY
rallied back to the 183.00 level from the 182.00 level on news that Greece is
ready to draft and accept a tentative agreement with the EU officials. From the
183.00, the GBP/JPY may try to bounce back down, but if the bullish momentum
persists, then we could see a breakout of that level to the upside.
Thursday, February 19, 2015
Pullback on the GBP/USD to the 1.5400 level
The Pound
versus the Dollar has broken again above the 1.5400 level and it looks like it
is trying to pull back to this same level. The 1.5400 zone could become a good
support area and the price may try to bounce to the upside from there. Let us
be attentive to a possible long entry from that zone. If the price breaks below
the 1.5400 level, then the 55 EMA on the 4 hour chart could become a good
support, but most important is the 1.5300 level where we can see the 200 EMA
around as a support area.
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