The
breakout and pullback pattern is very trustworthy when it happens around a key
support or resistance zone like a round number level or the 200 day exponential
moving average as shown on the daily chart of the US Dollar versus the
Singaporean Dollar. On the chart we can see that the price broke below the 200
Day EMA and today it has pulled back to that same level around the 1.3278. If
there is a bearish bounce from that zone, then the price may try to get to the
round number level of the 1.3100, which could become a good support for the
pair.
Thursday, April 30, 2015
Wednesday, April 29, 2015
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Tuesday, April 28, 2015
EUR/CAD: Triangle or Rising Wedge?
The Euro
versus the Canadian Dollar has formed what appears to be an ascending triangle
or a rising wedge on the daily chart. In reality the name is the least
important, what really matters is that we identify the borders of the
consolidation and wait for the price to break one of those borders, which are
actually two trendlines. A breakout to the downside could take the price to the
round number level of the 1.3000, which could act as support, or a breakout to
the upside could take the price to the 1.3500 level, which could act as
resistance.
Monday, April 27, 2015
USD/SGD: Finally touches the 200 day EMA
Just as we
analyzed it last week, the US Dollar versus the Singaporean Dollar continued
dropping and reached its 200 Day exponential moving average, a little bit above
the key support level of 1.3242. Apparently the price is stalling at that area
and it is possible to see a bounce to the upside for the next couple of days.
However, the 1.3417 level could become a good resistance from where the pair
may stop its bullish bounce.
Friday, April 24, 2015
USD/SGD: Possible visit to the 200 Day EMA
On various occasions
we have seen how the 200 day exponential moving average has acted as a very
good support or resistance zone. On the US Dollar versus the Singaporean Dollar
we can see how the pair has been in a very organized and sustainable retracement
to the downside and it is currently getting very close to its 200 Day EMA.
Attentive to a possible visit to that zone, because the price may try to bounce
to the upside from there, especially when we see that a little bit below it
there is an important support level at the 1.3242.
Thursday, April 23, 2015
Moving average confluence on the NZD/USD
On various occasions
we have seen how the 200 period exponential moving average acts as a very good
support or resistance zone and at times the 55 period exponential moving
average does the same thing. When these two moving averages coincide around the
same zone on different time frames, the area becomes a very important support
or resistance.
That is
exactly what we are seeing on the NZD/USD on the daily and 4 hour charts. On
the daily chart we can see that the price has gotten to the 55 period
exponential moving average zone around the 0.7550 and it is currently trying to
bounce to the upside from there.
On the 4
hour chart we can see that the zone of the 0.7550 level coincides very closely
with the 200 period exponential moving average (blue line) and that is why that
area has become a very strong support for the pair.
From this
point on, the pair may try to go back up, but we must also be aware that the
0.7600 level could become a temporary resistance for the price.
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
NZD/USD: Another visit to the 200 day exponential moving average
The 200
period exponential moving average usually acts as a very good zone of support
or resistance, especially on the daily chart. That is why we saw that the
NZD/USD bounced to the downside on Friday from that moving average around the
0.7739 level (blue line) and today we can see that the price has gone back up
to that level, but it is currently trying to stall there. Therefore, we must be
attentive to a possible bounce to the downside from that zone, but we should
also be on the lookout for a possible breakout, because usually those breakouts
around that moving average also presents us with good trading opportunities to
go long.
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