The New
Zealand Dollar versus the US Dollar has stayed in a range between the 0.6500 as
support and the 55 day exponential moving average (purple line), around the
0.6577 as resistance. Today was an up day for the pair but it still couldn’t
break above the 55 day EMA, as shown on the daily chart. A breakout above the
55 day EMA could make the price gain some bullish momentum and its next
resistance could be the 200 day EMA (blue line), around the 0.6800 level. To
the downside, its first support below the 0.6500 level could be the 0.6428
level. Below the low at the 0.6428, its next support could be the 0.6236 level.
Monday, November 30, 2015
Friday, November 27, 2015
Gasoline: Consolidation on the weekly chart
The January
gasoline contract on the weekly chart has been going sideways, coinciding with
the current consolidation on crude oil. If during the next month the price
breaks to the upside above the resistance around the 1.5040 level, then
gasoline may try to go and visit its 55 week exponential moving average (purple
line), around the 1.7461 level, which could act as its next resistance.
Regardless of the current consolidation, the price keeps a slight bearish
slope, therefore it could also try to break below the 1.2021 level. If it does
break below the 1.2021 level, then the 1.1000 level may act as its next
support.
Thursday, November 26, 2015
Pivot Points, The turning levels of Price
The word “pivot”
means a turning point. The pivot points indicator was initially used by Futures
pit traders to increase their probability of entering in an instrument when it
was about to change direction. Today, we don’t longer need a piece of paper
with the pivot point levels written on them like those traders in the past
needed to have. With the trading platform we can get a better visual
understanding of the pivot point levels and we can trade more easily off those
levels. ActivTrades has created a pivot point indicator that can be installed
on your MetaTrader 4 or MetaTrader 5 trading platform. By having the pivot
points drawn directly on the charts, we can trade either the bounces or
breakouts of those levels and we don’t need to do any calculations, the
platform automatically gives us day by day the new pivot points. To download
the indicator please visit:
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advantage of this other great tool created by ActivTrades.
Wednesday, November 25, 2015
The GBP/JPY breaks below its bullish channel
The Pound
versus the Yen was inside a well-formed bullish channel on the daily chart, but
during the past two days it has broken below it and below the 200 day
exponential moving average (blue line), around the 185.94 level. Even though
the price corrects to the upside during today´s session, that could just be a
retracement to continue falling. If the price continues falling, then the
184.00 could act as its next support. In case the price breaks above the 200
day exponential moving average, then its next resistance could be the 187.00.
Tuesday, November 24, 2015
Bullish pullback on corn
The corn
contract for December has made a low around the 355.24 level from where it has
been pulling back to the upside as seen on the daily chart. The current
pullback could provide us with an opportunity to enter short, but the question
now is up to what point the price may retrace. The stochastics are close to
reaching the over-bought area. If the stochastics reach the over-bought zone at
the same time that the price reaches the 200 day exponential moving average
around the 379.89 level, we could wait for a bounce from there for a potential
short entry. For now, we just have to wait for the price to continue retracing
and break above the current 364.00 level.
Monday, November 23, 2015
The Kiwi finds a good resistance on the 55 day EMA
Since
Thursday of last week, the NZD/USD reached the 55 day exponential moving
average (purple line), around the 0.6582 where it has stalled and bounces back
to the downside during today´s session. On the same daily chart we can see that
the pair has actually stayed in a bearish channel and it is possible to see the
price falling back down. To the downside, the 0.6428 could act as support, but
if the price breaks above the upper trendline of the channel, then the 200 day
exponential moving average, around the 0.6822 level could act as resistance.
Friday, November 20, 2015
Gold: It consolidates, but keeps its bearish trend
After
making a low around the 1063 level, gold stalls its fall during the last two
days and it is going sideways as we can see on the daily chart. The 55 day
exponential moving average (purple line), around the 1122 level could act as a
resistance in case the price retraces to the upside. However, fundamentally
there are no reasons yet for gold to rally, unless the Dollar weakens or the
risk aversion increases in the markets for any reason. The 1063 level could
continue acting as support, but the probability of seeing a breakdown is high.
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