On
the daily chart of the US Dollar versus the Brazilian Real, we can see that the
price has been consolidating around the 55 day exponential moving average,
which is currently around the 3.2629. The price is currently at the 55 day EMA
from where it may try to bounce to the downside. If the price goes back down,
its next support could be the 200 week exponential moving average around the
2.9380 level. To the upside, above the 55 day EMA we can see the 200 day
exponential moving average around the 3.4214 level, which could act as its next
resistance.
Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Corn tries to complete a double top
On
the daily chart of corn we saw the formation of a double top pattern on the 55
day exponential moving average, which is running precisely at the 340.00 round
number level. The confirmation line or signal line is the level at the 325.00.
A breakdown of the 325 level could take the price of corn to the low at the
312.17 level. To the upside, above the 55 day EMA, its most relevant resistance
could be the 200 day exponential moving average, blue line, around the 359.98
level. Another possible scenario is that the 325 could act again as support and
the price of corn could stay consolidated within the current channel.
Monday, September 26, 2016
Gold in a bearish channel
Gold
continues trading inside a bearish channel that we identified a few days ago on
the daily chart. There is no clear direction in the middle term until the price
of gold breaks out of the channel, either to the upside or to the downside.
Today the price dropped to the 55 day exponential moving average, purple line,
around the 1324.15 level and stalls there. The price may try to bounce to the
upside from the current level, but it has been really oscillating around that
moving average; therefore, it could also break it to the downside. To the
downside, the next support is still the 1300 level. Below the 1300 level, the
next support is the 200 day exponential moving average, blue line, around the
1269 level. Above the upper trendline of the channel, the high at the 1375.14
level could be its most relevant resistance.
Friday, September 23, 2016
Corn bounces from 55 day EMA
The
55 day exponential moving average or EMA could be used as a trend indicator,
but it also acts as a support or resistance level, just like the 200 day EMA
does. On the daily chart of corn we can see that the price has bounced twice to
the downside from the 55 day EMA, purple line. If the price continues dropping,
then the 325.00 could act as support followed by the 312.17 level, which could
also act as support. Above the 55 day EMA, the 200 day EMA, blue line, around
the 360.54 could act as resistance. Once the price goes above the 55 day EMA,
it could consolidate and start bouncing in between the 55 EMA and the 200 EMA.
Thursday, September 22, 2016
Bullish bounce on the Dollar
On
the daily chart of the US Dollar Index, we can see that the price has been
consolidating in a range, forming what it appears to be a symmetrical triangle.
The upper boundary of the consolidation is around the 96.00 to 96.50 zone. To
the downside, we can see that the lows of the candles have been higher than the
previous ones, but a breakdown of the 95.00 level could take the index to the
94.00 level or the 93.00 level. Since yesterday the Dollar Index has been
falling on the comments by the FED regarding interest rates, but once the index
go to the 95.00 level, it stalls there and tries to bounce to the upside. For
now the 96.00 level could act as its next resistance.
Wednesday, September 21, 2016
Good strength on the Yen
The Yen has
strengthen today during the whole trading session, but especially during the
FED’s announcement. The FED has not given a clear signal to the markets and
that has created a lot of uncertainty among traders and investors. That
uncertainty has created risk aversion and since the Yen is used as a safe haven
instrument, it rises. On the daily chart of the USD/JPY we can see that today’s
breakout was bearish and the price came very close to the 100.00 support level.
The Bank of Japan has been taking a lot of care around the 100.00 zone,
intervening at times to prevent the Yen from going higher. To the upside, the
102.00 level or the 103.00 level could act as resistance.
Tuesday, September 20, 2016
GBP/USD tries to break the 1.3000 level
The
GBP/USD has been oscillating around the 1.3000 level, mostly inclined to the
downside, but without a clear direction due to the fact that tomorrow we have
the FED’s announcement. Whatever the decision may be for tomorrow in regards to
the US interest rates, the Dollar crosses may exhibit high volatility. To the
upside, the resistances at the 1.3100, 1.3200, 1.3300 and even the 1.3481 may
be broken if the reaction after the FED is positive for the Pound. To the
downside, the 1.2800 level may act as a temporary support for the pair in case
of a bearish breakdown, but the momentum may take the pair even lower.
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