The Euro
holds on to its gains versus the dollar at the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement
level of the drop from March 13th to April 4th. After
reaching and bouncing from the 1.3700 level, the pair has been steadily moving up
until now when it has reached the 61.8% as shown on the daily chart below, courtesy
of the Forex Broker Activtrades http://www.activtrades.co.uk/,
around the 1.3853 level.
From this
point on we may see a bounce to the downside, but there is a higher and better
probability of a bounce to the downside from the 1.3900 level, being this a
round number and a psychological zone. Besides, we also have the 76.4% Fibo
around the same zone which can act as a good resistance level. Therefore, a
short position at the 1.3900 level has a higher probability of working than at
the current levels of the EUR/USD.

Congratulations for the post, very helpful.
ReplyDeleteDuring the last bull market just before the collapse of the financial sector EURUSD went all the way up to 1.6 do you see this happening again in the current bull market?
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