Tuesday, June 24, 2014

Volatility shrinks even more on the EUR/USD.

The volatility on the EUR/USD has dropped to historic levels during the last few days, due to the fact that there is no clear consensus on the future direction of the US economy and the European Central Bank is keeping its monetary policy unchanged. On the 4 hour chart below of the EUR/USD we can see that the pair keeps oscillating around the 1.3600 level and the range has shrink, forming what appears to be a symmetrical triangle with the 55 EMA as support and the 200 EMA as resistance.

On the symmetrical triangle formations price tends to breakout in the direction that the price was having coming into the pattern. However, it would be wiser to wait for the breakout and then the pullback before trying to open a position. Therefore, even though the volatility has dropped, we may get an opportunity to enter on this pair if we patiently wait for the breakout.


7 comments:

  1. Thanks for the post , and it is looks like the pair keeps oscillating around the 1.3600 level from yesterday, but till when ? we will see.

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  2. Thank you. When traders become complacent, surprises happen ....

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  3. The EURUSD went sideways yesterday, essentially embracing the 1.36 handle again. Because of this, it is very hard to trade and is essentially at the direct center of the larger consolidation area having a floor at 1.35, and a ceiling at the 1.37 handle.

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  4. i dont know why the price keep losing momentum everytime it reach an important support or resistance i think its due to uncertainty from the traders

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  5. Thanks for such an informative article.

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  6. There is no volatility in EUR/USD for a while

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  7. Terrible few weeks to trade this pair

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