Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Rally on crude supports the Canadian Dollar

Light crude oil, WTI rallied for today above the 40.00 level and it is nearing the 41.00 level. The rally on crude has helped the Canadian Dollar, due to the fact that those two instruments have a positive correlation. On the daily chart of the USD/CAD we see a very interesting price action. The bearish trend is still in place and that can be confirmed by the slope and direction of the 21 day exponential moving average, yellow line. After the price breaks below the 200 day EMA, blue line, it retraced to that zone, but the moving average, along with the 1.3400 level acted as good resistance. The pair drops to the 1.3100 level and stalls at the moment there, but since the bearish trend is still in place, it may continue dropping towards the 1.2827 level. The 21 EMA is trying to break below the 200 EMA and if it does then it could be an indication of further drops on the USD/CAD. In case the price goes back up for any reason, then the 1.3400 zone could act once again as resistance.


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