During the
last three weeks gold has been retracing to the downside, since it made a high
around the 1295 level, very close to the 1300 level. On the weekly chart we can
see that gold has retraced to its 200 week EMA, which in the past it has acted
as a resistance and now it could act as a support. The 200 period EMA usually
acts as a very good support or resistance level, especially on the higher
timeframes. Now that the price has broken above the 200 week EMA and it has
come back to it, a breakout and pullback pattern may be developing around that
zone. If the price of gold bounces to the upside from the 200 week EMA (blue
line) around the 1256 level, then the breakout and pullback pattern may be
completed and gold may try to go and visit again the 1300 zone. If the price
breaks below the 200 week EMA, then it will practically have the road clear to
go and visit the 1200 level in the midterm, but which could act as support.

It could have found some support.
ReplyDeleteIt will likely continue falling.
ReplyDeleteLet's see whether it will break out below 1256.
ReplyDeleteThanks for such an informative analysis.
ReplyDeleteVery helpful assessment!
ReplyDeleteHelpful analysis, good to know.
ReplyDeleteGood post. Very helpful.
ReplyDeleteStraight to the point! Congrats!
ReplyDelete