Gold
had a good rally last week while the Dollar was weakening, but once it got to
the 200 week exponential moving average zone, it stalls there and the bullish
momentum dries down while the price consolidates around the 1256 level. The 200
week EMA zone at the 1256 level coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of
the fall that it suffered from the 1295 level to the 1214 level. On the daily
chart we can see that the current consolidation has formed what it appears to
be a symmetrical triangle. Due to the fact that the trend coming into the
formation is bullish, there is a higher probability of seeing a bullish
breakout, but the price of gold may actually breakout in any direction. In case
of a bullish breakout, the next resistance level on gold is at the 76.4% Fibo
around the 1276 level. Above the 1276 level, the next resistance is at the high
that it made at the 1295 level from where it started falling. To the downside,
in case of a bearish breakdown, the next support level is at the 200 day
exponential moving average around the 1238 level. Below the 200 day EMA, its
next support is at the low of the 1214 level from where it started retracing to
the upside.
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Excellent observation!
ReplyDeleteWell spotted! I'll keep a close eye on it.
ReplyDeleteThanks for such an informative article.
ReplyDeleteThank you for pointing that out.
ReplyDeleteI agree with your assessment.
ReplyDeleteThat's good to know, thanks.
ReplyDeleteEnjoyed the article, thank you.
ReplyDeleteWell spotted! Thanks for sharing it.
ReplyDeleteLet's see.
ReplyDelete