A
few weeks back we identified a head and shoulders pattern on the EUR/USD over
the daily chart with the neckline around the 1.1800 level, which was broken to
take the pair to the 1.1700 level. We could say that such head and shoulders
pattern was confirmed, but the drop was not too deep. On the last couple of
weeks we saw that the EUR/USD pulled back to the 1.1900 level where it is
trying to come back down. The pullback to the 1.1900 level is important,
because the pair already bounced to the downside from that level on the 2nd
of august. Therefore, this bearish bounce from the 1.1900 level could be
forming the right shoulder of a bigger pattern that includes the previous head
and shoulders, that is why it is called a complex head and shoulder pattern.
The pattern has two shoulders on the left and two shoulders on the right, the
head is still the peak at the 1.2100 level. The neckline for the new pattern is
the red trendline just below the 1.1700 level. If the EUR/USD breaks below the
neckline, the pair may drop to the 1.1500 level, where we can find the 200 day
EMA.
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Good point, I'll keep an eye on it.
ReplyDeleteThank you for pointing that out.
ReplyDeleteVery detailed assessment.
ReplyDeleteExcellent observation!
ReplyDeleteGood assessment! I'll keep it in mind.
ReplyDeleteVery useful information! Thanks.
ReplyDelete