The US
Dollar has been under pressure by most of its major counterparts, days before
the Non-Farm Payrolls report, that is why we have seen the Euro gain ground
versus the greenback and it is holding on to a strong bullish momentum. On the
4 hour chart below of the EUR/USD we can see how the price has come very close
to the 1.3700 level, which could act as a good resistance zone. We must be
attentive to a possible visit to that level, because it could give us a good
bounce to the downside and a possible short entry. To the downside, the 200
period exponential moving average may act as a good support now that the price
has broken above it.
Monday, June 30, 2014
Friday, June 27, 2014
Possible visit of the GBP/JPY to the 172.00 level.
The Yen has
been strengthening for today versus most of its major counterparts after the
better than expected fundamental releases out of Japan, which have shown that
the Japanese economy is expanding at a higher pace than previously thought.
This lowers the probability of the Bank of Japan implementing further economic
stimulus for the time being. That is why we see on the daily chart below of the
GBP/JPY that the pair has dropped and it is close to touching the 172.00 level.
A visit of the pair to the zone of the 172.00 could give us a bounce to the
upside from there or at least we may see it stall at that point. Besides this
being a round number and psychological level, we also see that the 55 Daily
EMA, purple line, is around that same zone and it could help provide further
support to the pair around that zone.
Thursday, June 26, 2014
The kiwi is very close to a key resistance level.
The New
Zealand Dollar versus the US Dollar is very close to touching its latest high
from last month around the 0.8779 level. We may probably see a bounce from that
level to the downside or at least we may see the pair stalling its bullish
momentum there. If the pair does indeed bounces to the downside, it may try to
reach the 0.8700 level which could act as a good support zone. On the daily
chart below of the NZD/USD we can see a red line at the 0.8845 level; that
level is a historic high for the pair reached on august of 2011. Therefore, if
the price continues going higher and visits that zone of the 0.8845 level, it
may try to bounce back to the downside.
Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Build your Strategic Business Plan – Part 6 Trading Systems. June 26.
Trading
should be treated as any other business or profession. That is why we must have
in place a sound and specific business plan in order not to deviate from our
rules and be able to reach our goals. In most instances when we are trading, we
have to play the role of the owner of the business, the manager and the trader.
For this reason, Activtrades has created a very helpful and insightful webinar
called: Build your Strategic Business Plan to help you with this task and show
you in detail the advantages of having a business plan in place. I invite you
to register for the next webinar for free on June 26 and enjoy the advice that Paul Wallace has
for you.
Tuesday, June 24, 2014
Volatility shrinks even more on the EUR/USD.
The
volatility on the EUR/USD has dropped to historic levels during the last few
days, due to the fact that there is no clear consensus on the future direction
of the US economy and the European Central Bank is keeping its monetary policy
unchanged. On the 4 hour chart below of the EUR/USD we can see that the pair
keeps oscillating around the 1.3600 level and the range has shrink, forming
what appears to be a symmetrical triangle with the 55 EMA as support and the
200 EMA as resistance.
On the symmetrical
triangle formations price tends to breakout in the direction that the price was
having coming into the pattern. However, it would be wiser to wait for the
breakout and then the pullback before trying to open a position. Therefore, even
though the volatility has dropped, we may get an opportunity to enter on this
pair if we patiently wait for the breakout.
Monday, June 23, 2014
The USD/CAD nears the 55 EMA on the Weekly chart.
The US
dollar had been weakening versus the Canadian dollar since last week and it
looks like it will continue with its downtrend for this week. However, we must
be careful with the current drop on the pair, because it is nearing the 55
Exponential Moving Average on the Weekly chart, just as we see it on the chart
below. The 55 EMA may not be too dependable on the lower timeframes, but on the
higher timeframes like the weekly chart, this EMA may act as a very good
support or resistance level. Therefore, we must pay attention to a possible visit
of the price to the 55 EMA on the Weekly chart, because we may see a bounce
from that zone to the upside.
Friday, June 20, 2014
Breakout and pullback on the GBP/USD to the 1.7000 level.
The Pound
versus the Dollar has be gaining a lot of ground lately and has reached a 5 and
a half year high at the 1.7062. On the 4 hour chart below we can see that the
1.7000 level was acting as a good resistance for quite some time, but the pair
finally broke it and reached the 1.7062 from where it started retracing today.
We can
clearly see that a breakout and pullback pattern has formed and the 1.7000
could act as a support now. Therefore, a visit to the 1.7000 could make the
price bounce back to the upside and give us a possible long entry. For this
reason we must pay attention to that possible visit.
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