At the
beginning of the European session the Yen gained a lot of strength versus most
of its major counterparts, especially versus the US Dollar. Risk aversion came
into the markets after the tensions between Russia and the Ukraine rose and
caused investors to seek the shelter of the Yen. The USD/JPY reached the
102.00, but it bounced from that level to the upside as the greenback tried to
reclaim its ground as shown on the 4 hour chart below.
Even though
the pair is trying to retrace at the moment, if tensions continue to escalate between
Russia and the West during next week, then we may see a breakout to the
downside of the 102.00 level. A breakout to the downside can give us a good
opportunity to go short if we get a pullback after the breakout to the same
102.00 level.

I have no view on this pair so your post is quite interesting
ReplyDeleteThank you for the analysis i'll keep an eye on the 102.00 level.
ReplyDeleteThanks for your analysis!
ReplyDelete